KDB reports 3.7% milk decline in July 2026 due to seasonal dry spell

KENYA – Kenya Dairy Board (KDB) has confirmed temporary milk supply constraints in some parts of the country, with reduced availability of some brands and pack sizes reported in several outlets.

According to the board’s press release, formal milk deliveries to processors declined by 3.7% from 84.4 million litres in June 2026 to 81.3 million litres in July 2026.

It is currently compiling formal milk intake data for August 2026, with preliminary indications suggesting further decline in milk deliveries, reflecting the prevailing seasonal production conditions.

Recent market surveillance undertaken by the Board has identified varying degrees of supply constraints across the country, reflected in low stock levels, reduced availability of some brands and pack sizes, and delayed replenishment in some outlets.

Pasteurised milk has generally been more affected, while long-life milk (ESL and UHT) remains comparatively more available.

Retail milk prices remain generally stable, although some upward price movement has been observed in parts of the country experiencing supply constraints.

The current situation is largely associated with seasonal factors, particularly the prevailing dry and cold conditions in key milk-producing areas.

The outlook for the October–November–December 2026 rainfall season is expected to support recovery in pasture and fodder availability, leading to improved milk production and supply as conditions become more favourable.

Additionally, the government is implementing measures to strengthen milk production and the resilience of the dairy value chain. These include procuring and distributing milk coolers to improve milk aggregation and preservation, and supporting dairy herd improvement through subsidised sexed semen.

“KDB continues to monitor milk production, formal milk deliveries, market availability and retail prices and is working with industry stakeholders to support continuity of supply.

“Consumers and stakeholders are therefore reassured that the current situation is temporary. Under the leadership of the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development, the Board will continue to support measures aimed at ensuring adequate and stable milk supplies.”

Kenya’s milk output hits 5.4 billion litres in 2025

The milk shortage comes after Kenya’s milk output rose from 4.6 billion litres to 5.4 billion litres in 2025, placing the country ahead of Egypt in continental rankings.

This represents a 3.5% increase compared to the previous year and marks a third consecutive year of rising milk production in the country. It also sets a new record for the sector.

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